Posts Tagged ‘howto’
Money Management: For Investing (Remake)
The Blog Entry that Accompanies this Vlog is at: http://investorandtrader.blogspot.com/2009/06/money-management-for-investing-remake.html
My Daily Blog is at: http://investorandtrader.blogspot.com/
My channel at BlogTV is: http://www.blogtv.com/People/Airelon
My Podcast is at: http://airelon.podbean.com/ and embedded in the daily blog.
I have talked much, to date in this money management series, about money management as it relates to trading.
How does Money Management relate to Investing? I discuss that in this vlog …
NOTE: This is not an investment or trading recommendation. The losses in trading can be very real, and depending on the investment vehicle, can exceed your initial investment. I am not a licensed trading or investment adviser, or financial planner. But I do have 13 years of experience in trading and investing in these markets. The Challenge accounts are run for the education of other traders who should make their own decisions based off their own research and risk tolerance
Duration : 0:9:1
Money Management: Your Account Size and Money Management Strategies
The Blog Entry that Accompanies this Vlog is at: http://investorandtrader.blogspot.com/2009/02/money-management-strategies-and-account.html
My Daily Blog is at: http://investorandtrader.blogspot.com/
My channel at BlogTV is: http://www.blogtv.com/People/Airelon
My Podcast is at: http://airelon.podbean.com/ and embedded in the daily blog.
To date in the money management series, we have explored the founding principles of money management. Risk Analysis, Reward Analysis, Trade Management, Drawdown, Accuracy Rates and Performance Analysis. We talked about Strategies and the need to find an edge to the market, or a bias, and to massage that bias.
Now let’s switch gears a bit, and build on the foundation of money management when it comes to trading. We’ll do that by talking about your account size.
NOTE: This is not an investment or trading recommendation. The losses in trading can be very real, and depending on the investment vehicle, can exceed your initial investment. I am not a licensed trading or investment adviser, or financial planner. But I do have 13 years of experience in trading and investing in these markets. The Challenge accounts are run for the education of other traders who should make their own decisions based off their own research and risk tolerance
Duration : 0:9:38
Money Management (Series): Trading for Income
The Blog Entry that Accompanies this Vlog is at: http://investorandtrader.blogspot.com/2009/03/money-management-series-trading-for.html
My Daily Blog is at: http://investorandtrader.blogspot.com/
My channel at BlogTV is: http://www.blogtv.com/People/Airelon
My Podcast is at: http://airelon.podbean.com/ and embedded in the daily blog.
The reason we trade, is to make money.
The reason we make money, is to have an income.
So what are reasonable expectations when it comes to trading? What sort of income can you expect? What should you remember when you hear that a trader had a $2500 trade? How much money should you take home to live on?
I offer my experience and thoughts on the subject, in the following vlog . . .
NOTE: This is not an investment or trading recommendation. The losses in trading can be very real, and depending on the investment vehicle, can exceed your initial investment. I am not a licensed trading or investment adviser, or financial planner. But I do have 13 years of experience in trading and investing in these markets. The Challenge accounts are run for the education of other traders who should make their own decisions based off their own research and risk tolerance
Duration : 0:5:55
Money Management: Drawdown
The Blog Entry that Accompanies this Vlog Entry is at: http://investorandtrader.blogspot.com/2008/11/money-management-drawdown_10.html
My Daily Blog is at: http://investorandtrader.blogspot.com/
My channel at BlogTV is: http://www.blogtv.com/People/Airelon
Why keep track of your drawdown? After all, we just want to trade right? You just want to focus in on the reward, whether it be from the Forex, Commodity Futures, or Stock Markets, right?
Drawdown assists you in understanding the worth of a system or method as well. If the person offering the system refuses to talk about the drawdown numbers of that system? That’s a good indication it’s a scam and highly overrated. If the person offers you a system or methodology and talks about drawdown – this lets you know that the system has verifiable merit that you can test.
But what does drawdown tell you about your system, and how you should adjust the rest of your money management strategy?
We discuss that in the following vlog entry …
NOTE: This is not an investment or trading recommendation. The losses in trading can be very real, and depending on the investment vehicle, can exceed your initial investment. I am not a licensed trading or investment adviser, or financial planner. But I do have 12 years of experience in trading and investing in these markets. The Challenge accounts are run for the education of other traders who should make their own decisions based off their own research and risk tolerance. Included Music is by Paul Young. A personal friend and is not a part of any music license, recording label, etc
Duration : 0:9:34
Money Management: Trade Management
The blog entry that accompanies this vlog is at: http://investorandtrader.blogspot.com/2008/11/money-management-trade-management.html
My Daily Blog is at: http://investorandtrader.blogspot.com/
My channel at BlogTV is: http://www.blogtv.com/People/Airelon
As a trader of the forex, stock market, a day trader or commodity futures trader we always hear what? Have a trading plan. Ok. What does that _ mean _ ? What should that plan consist of ? I discuss that in this video.
NOTE: This is not an investment or trading recommendation. The losses in trading can be very real, and depending on the investment vehicle, can exceed your initial investment. I am not a licensed trading or investment adviser, or financial planner. But I do have 12 years of experience in trading and investing in these markets. The Challenge accounts are run for the education of other traders who should make their own decisions based off their own research and risk tolerance. Included Music is by Paul Young. A personal friend and is not a part of any music license, recording label, etc
Duration : 0:9:25
57. What Traders Know About Interest Rates Part 2
http://www.informedtrades.com/
The second lesson of two on interest rates, why they are so important to the stock market and to traders and investors in the stock, futures, and forex markets with an introduction to the Federal Reserve.
In yesterday’s lesson we began our discussion on Monetary Policy with a look at one of its primary components, interest rates. In today’s lesson we are going to continue this discussion with another look at how interest rates affect the economy and therefore the markets, and by introducing the institution which implements Monetary Policy, the Federal Reserve.
As we saw in our example yesterday, small movements in interest rates can have dramatic effects on the economy. Just as small changes in interest rates can dramatically increase the costs for individuals to own a home or borrow money to purchase other goods, they can also have a dramatic affect on the cost of doing business.
It is for this reason that when interest rates rise, making borrowed money more costly, that people will also be less likely to start or expand a business. This not only has an effect on the business owner themselves but filters throughout the entire economy as less businesses being started and expanded means less jobs, which means less people getting paychecks, which means less people spending money and on and on down the line. The opposite is of course also true for when interest rates fall and business owners take advantage of access to cheaper borrowed money.
In addition to interest rates affecting the stock market, interest rates also have direct and indirect affects on the bond, foreign exchange, and futures markets. Here are a couple of quick examples of this which we will expand on in later lessons:
The Bond Market: When interest rates rise the value of existing bonds fall as investors can now purchase the same bond with a higher interest rate and vice versa.
The Forex Market: When Interest rates it becomes more attractive from a yield standpoint to own the dollar against other currencies or to invest in interest bearing dollar based assets. This creates a demand for dollars which will many times cause the dollar to strengthen. The reverse is also true when interest rates fall.
The Commodities Market: When economies grow at a greater rate as a result of lower interest rates this will mean a greater demand for commodities so their value will rise and vice versa.
Duration : 0:5:12
14. How to Trade the Flag/Pennant Patterns Like a Pro Part2
http://www.informedtrades.com/
The second lesson in a two part series on trading strategies for trading the flag and pennant chart patterns using technical analysis for day traders and investors in the stock market, futures market, and foreign exchange market.
Duration : 0:5:26
52. Fundamental Analysis and The US Economy
http://www.informedtrades.com/
A lesson on the basics of fundamental analysis, the top down and bottom up, and the US Economy for traders of the stock, futures, and forex markets.
there are two ways that traders analyze the markets which are known as technical analysis and fundamental analysis. As I also mentioned in that lesson while most people who buy and sell over the short term focus on technical analysis and most people who buy and sell over the long term focus on fundamental analysis, in my opinion both technical traders, fundamental traders, and investors can all benefit from at least having an understanding of both types of analysis even if they prefer one or the other as their primary tool they use to make their trading decisions.
While technical analysis focuses solely on the analysis of historical price action, fundamental analysis focuses on everything else including things such as the overall state of the economy, interest rates, production, earnings, and management. When analyzing a stock, currency or commodity using fundamental analysis there are two basic approaches one can use which are known as bottom up analysis and top down analysis. Bottom up analysis very simply means looking at the details such, as earnings if we are talking about a stock, first and then working one’s way up to the larger picture by looking at things such as the industry of the company who’s stock you are trading and then finally the overall economic picture. Top down analysis on the other hand means looking at the big picture things such as the economy first and then working one’s way down to the details such as earnings if we are talking about a stock.
While there is some debate about which method is best my personal preference is for Top Down analysis and since by starting this way we can start with the things that apply to all markets and not just the stock market this is how we will start.
The first thing that it is important to understand from a fundamental standpoint is what the economic situation is as it affects the financial instrument you are trading. As I am based in the US and the US is the World’s largest economy this is what I am going to talk about, however most of the things I discuss here apply in a broad sense to any economy. When we begin to discuss the foreign exchange market in later lessons we will go into specific details of the other major and emerging market economies from around the world.
According to Investopedia.com the definition of an Economy is “the large set of inter-related economic production and consumption activities which aid in determining how scarce resources are allocated. The economy encompasses everything relating to the production and consumption of goods and services in an area”
People often refer to the US Economy as a capitalist or free market economy. A capitalist or free market economy in its most basic sense is one in which the production and distribution of goods and services is done primarily by private (non government) companies and the price for those goods is set by the free market. This is in contrast to a socialist or planned economy where production and distribution of goods and services as well as the pricing of those goods and services is handled by the government.
Duration : 0:7:42
54. Simple Explanation of The US Economy For Traders Part 2
http://www.informedtrades.com
A lesson on the second two components of the US Economy the Private and Government Sector and how these each affect forex, futures, and stock traders.
In our last lesson we began a discussion on the different components that make up the US Economy and how these relate to trading with a look at the Natural Resources and Labor Force components. In today’s lesson we continue this discussion with a look at the Private Sector and Government components and how each of these relates to trading.
While having lots of natural resources and a large well educated labor force to produce goods and services from those natural resources is a great thing, without a way to organize these first two components of the economy, not much would get done. This is where the small, medium, and large businesses which make up the private sector come in. In addition to organizing the labor force to produce goods and services, the private sector is also responsible for raising the capital necessary to bring all these things together which they do through private investors, loans from commercial banks, the bond market, and/or the equities market.
While many people think that the US Economy is dominated by the large corporations, it may come as a surprise the large role that the small business play’s in the US Economy. According to the US Department of State:
“Of the nearly 26 million firms in the United States, most are very small—97.5 percent … have fewer than 20 employees,” the U.S. Small Business Administration says. “Yet cumulatively, these firms account for half of our nonfarm real gross domestic product, and they have generated 60 to 80 percent of the net new jobs over the past decade.”
While we will go into more details about the private sector and how this all relates to trading in later lessons, it should be obvious at this point the large effect that the private sector has on all markets as they are the ones who: 1. Raise capital through bonds and stocks that we then trade, 2. produce the goods and services which drive demand for the commodities we trade and 3. Affect the foreign Exchange markets by playing a role in what goods and services are produced domestically, which we import from overseas, as well as cross boarder mergers and acquisitions.
Duration : 0:5:44
59. How the Fed Changes Interest Rates
http://www.informedtrades.com/
A lesson on open market operations and how the federal reserve increases and decreases the money supply in order to move interest rates and what this means for traders of the stock, futures, and foreign exchange markets.
In our last lesson we looked at the structure of the Federal Reserve and the components of the FOMC, the portion responsible for implementing Monetary Policy. Now that we have an understanding of this, we can look further into exactly how monetary policy is facilitated and what happens to markets under differing scenarios.
Monetary Policy very simply is anything which relates to action by the Federal Reserve to influence the amount of money and credit available in the economy. To understand exactly what this means, one first must understand the concept of fiat monetary systems.
Fiat Monetary Systems: The United States, like most major economies, has what is known as a fiat monetary system. A Fiat Monetary system very simply is any system which uses a monetary unit (in this case the US Dollar) which is not convertible to some commodity, in general a precious metal such as gold.
Fiat money, is money that is backed by the credit of some entity, normally a government, and the value for which is derived from its relative scarcity and the faith placed in it by the population which uses it.
This is important to us as traders because the fact that the Dollar is not convertible to a commodity such as gold gives the Federal Reserve the ability to increase or decrease the money supply as it sees fit, or in other words to enact Monetary Policy.
With this in mind the 3 tools available to the Fed for enacting monetary policy are:
• Open Market Operations
• The Discount Rate
• Reserve Requirements
The most common tool that the Fed uses, and therefore the one that we will cover, is Open Market Operations. Once we have an understanding of this and how increases or decreases in the supply of money affect demand and prices, the other two less commonly used tools will be more easily understood.
Through something which is known as the Open Market Committee, the Fed increases and decreases the supply of money by buying and selling US Government securities.
When The Fed wishes to reduce interest rates they will increase the supply of money by buying government securities using money that was not available in circulation before they made their purchase. As with anything, when additional supply is added and everything else remains constant, price normally falls. In this case the price that we are referring to is the cost of borrowing money or interest rates.
Conversely, when the fed wishes to increase interest rates they will instruct the open market committee to sell government securities thereby taking the money they earn on the proceeds of those sales out of circulation and reducing the money supply.
Duration : 0:4:6